Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.177970 0.200524 0.224260 0.251046 0.280379 0.311466 0.346846
2025-04-27 0.152252 0.183404 0.217927 0.258833 0.305774 0.357752 0.419450
2025-05-04 0.130447 0.166736 0.208817 0.260804 0.322860 0.394105 0.481601
2025-05-11 0.115418 0.155614 0.204142 0.266325 0.343104 0.433988 0.548814
2025-05-18 0.104297 0.147639 0.201909 0.273743 0.365106 0.476143 0.619868
2025-05-25 0.091463 0.135853 0.193452 0.272115 0.375018 0.503215 0.672921
2025-06-01 0.081231 0.126276 0.186711 0.271667 0.385691 0.530947 0.727130
2025-06-08 0.072426 0.117642 0.180274 0.270751 0.395121 0.556851 0.779315
2025-06-15 0.066989 0.113194 0.179043 0.276477 0.413230 0.594243 0.847163
2025-06-22 0.060609 0.106647 0.174189 0.276569 0.423272 0.620886 0.901272
2025-06-29 0.054932 0.100572 0.169441 0.276282 0.432423 0.646251 0.954030
2025-07-06 0.049910 0.095005 0.164942 0.275887 0.441100 0.670909 1.006184
2025-07-13 0.046040 0.091081 0.162838 0.279162 0.455544 0.704572 1.072563
2025-07-20 0.043475 0.089098 0.163582 0.286704 0.476429 0.747856 1.153495
2025-07-27 0.039937 0.085051 0.160671 0.288300 0.488357 0.778566 1.217418
2025-08-03 0.037519 0.082755 0.160417 0.293969 0.506520 0.818666 1.295618
2025-08-10 0.035698 0.081370 0.161546 0.301818 0.528195 0.864383 1.382920
2025-08-17 0.032416 0.076854 0.156948 0.299948 0.534505 0.887386 1.437602
2025-08-24 0.029665 0.073070 0.153321 0.299400 0.542721 0.913276 1.496944
2025-08-31 0.027107 0.069390 0.149582 0.298373 0.549982 0.937745 1.554564
2025-09-07 0.025753 0.068075 0.150047 0.304549 0.569047 0.980619 1.640534
2025-09-14 0.023728 0.065091 0.147162 0.304636 0.577990 1.007974 1.703562
2025-09-21 0.021832 0.062173 0.144172 0.304318 0.586138 1.034160 1.765238